cosmicleverage
0x06e3b052c4c69f90ceefc87510534dd5f002b0c0
- Realised P&L
- $-242.83
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $835.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.860 | $274.07 | −$25.49 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.686 | 0.787 | $224.24 | +$28.90 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No | 0.497 | 0.650 | $130.74 | +$30.74 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.539 | 0.390 | $94.08 | −$35.92 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.376 | 0.235 | $75.27 | −$45.28 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.920 | $36.94 | +$0.40 |
| Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.84 |
| Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.08at 0.500Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$35.14at 0.749Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$27.54at 0.297Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
- +$20.25at 0.476Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$19.16at 0.880MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:28 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.3799999476 | $1.45 |
| 09-14 16:57 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.909999999 | $36.54 |
| 09-14 16:55 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 09:31 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6859999992 | $95.34 |
| 09-11 09:28 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6859999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 15:43 | Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $299.56 |
| 08-30 15:37 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4248390607 | $90.55 |
| 08-30 15:35 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6015589231 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 15:35 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4971862613 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 19:39 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.224999997 | $49.04 |
| 04-20 10:16 | Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.74 |
| 03-30 12:19 | Trump out as President by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $128.90 |
| 03-26 08:30 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999945 | $140.49 |
| 03-13 11:45 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7489951024 | $104.87 |