PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Roserage

0x06e27f64bb761dd8ef9db7e1509fa9baafb5da96

Realised P&L
$-639.00
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$333.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.5170.240$232.15$267.85
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1530.160$52.12+$2.12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1870.185$49.60$0.40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$100.00
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? · No0.5010.000$0.00$250.00
Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No0.3100.000$0.00$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 10:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1869999971$50.00
08-20 10:52Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1529999977$50.00
08-20 10:51Will Solana reach $90 in August?BUY0.3103676497$50.00
08-20 10:48Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.5169088847$500.00
08-20 10:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.963$223.95
05-26 13:59Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.5013294485$250.00
05-13 08:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8599999971$200.00
01-15 18:15US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.9501403837$203.04
01-14 20:30US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.5681282315$121.41
06-19 21:18US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?BUY0.6328313533$399.58
06-19 21:14Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?BUY0.3062938433$100.00
06-19 21:12Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?BUY0.6099999996$500.00
10-14 14:41Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.2659999984$100.79
10-14 14:41Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.7179999998$99.00
10-14 14:40Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4559999995$500.00