loopya
0x06dd2dde6ea5a2271e0412d73572a2311992060b
- Realised P&L
- $24.41
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $188.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.973 | $87.53 | +$5.63 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No | 0.950 | 0.978 | $48.88 | +$1.38 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $14.90 | +$0.04 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $14.37 | +$0.09 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 0.999 | $12.98 | +$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $9.57 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.36at 0.930Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$2.70at 0.910Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$2.63at 0.840Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$2.25at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$2.13at 0.910Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09 05:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999075 | $9.54 |
| 01-09 05:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.944 | $9.44 |
| 12-17 08:04 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $14.28 |
| 12-17 08:04 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.90 |
| 12-17 08:03 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.991 | $14.87 |
| 12-17 08:02 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 12-17 08:01 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 12-17 07:54 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.994 | $35.78 |
| 12-17 07:53 | Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $59.82 |
| 10-21 13:56 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.943 | $33.95 |
| 06-15 12:36 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.91 | $81.90 |
| 04-25 09:24 | Will Lazio win the Serie A? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 04-25 09:23 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 04-25 09:23 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 04-25 09:22 | Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |