PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kuasuo

0x06dc11427ef09fcb431b7effc4955ddd1c2732b7

Realised P&L
$188.12
Volume
$29.8k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9030.935$97.64+$3.34
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9320.959$87.26+$2.46
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.9000.835$87.01$6.77
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.7500.820$84.30+$7.20
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7000.805$82.93+$10.82
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.5600.770$78.66+$21.45
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.6800.770$78.59+$9.19
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5900.745$77.06+$16.03
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.6200.736$75.13+$11.82
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8670.863$74.73$0.35
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7340.685$69.91$5.04
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6500.790$68.60+$12.16
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8600.775$65.21$7.15
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.905$64.83+$6.09
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7200.695$63.51$2.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:28Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.8669999988$75.07
09-16 19:30Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?SELL0.66$62.90
09-16 16:24Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.2099999942$6.13
09-16 10:49Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.25$11.18
09-16 02:48Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.809999994$32.16
09-16 02:39Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.179999998$5.34
09-15 21:06Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5499999943$43.33
09-15 21:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.952$55.24
09-15 20:55Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.88$26.05
09-15 01:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.8299999997$48.16
09-15 00:56Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?BUY0.6199999953$18.41
09-15 00:34Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.17$8.02
09-14 22:24Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.41$20.50
09-14 21:13Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.14$8.05
09-14 20:43Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.84$22.26