LeslieMartinez3502
0x06d8ad0d8edb4e1170d160ac4e6228a0aa884c30
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $206.0k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $120.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.310 | 0.200 | $119.40 | −$65.67 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.745 | $0.74 | +$0.61 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.21 |
| Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.51 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.86at 0.101Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
- +$165.75at 0.130CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
- +$155.42at 0.280Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$134.26at 0.510Solana Up or Down - February 14, 5PM ET
- +$64.05at 0.340Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 14:27 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%? | SELL | 0.71 | $350.03 |
| 03-29 19:22 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.76 | $374.68 |
| 03-24 06:17 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $244.11 |
| 03-23 03:24 | Deel IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $234.84 |
| 03-21 19:02 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-22? | SELL | 0.36 | $23.40 |
| 03-20 19:59 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $112.86 |
| 03-13 08:12 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $523.60 |
| 03-12 23:24 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $499.80 |
| 03-11 03:47 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $260.82 |
| 03-11 02:52 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $137.94 |
| 03-10 14:28 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $107.10 |
| 03-10 14:27 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 03-10 13:56 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.86 | $373.24 |
| 03-07 03:41 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $196.02 |
| 03-07 03:36 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $96.00 |