PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sheriff0815

0x06cbd80db1f5fb32c3173d7a6e6164c48a16c49b

Realised P&L
$-38.40
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$36.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5540.825$14.88+$4.88
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No0.8500.940$11.06+$1.06
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.042$7.00$3.00
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · Yes0.1080.063$2.33$1.70
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.0770.010$1.30$8.70
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.095$0.40$0.60
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 08:02Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0364227685$10.00
05-19 08:02Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9879999478$10.00
05-17 18:33Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
05-17 18:33Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.85$10.00
05-17 17:12Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9899999099$10.00
05-17 17:12Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?BUY0.0769999934$10.00
05-17 10:28Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5544554296$10.00
05-17 10:28Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?BUY0.1080364318$4.03
05-17 09:34Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?SELL0.1943435535$4.94
05-17 09:34Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$7.50
05-17 09:34Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?SELL0.069$8.78
05-17 09:26Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.25$10.00
05-16 20:25Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
05-16 20:25Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
05-16 15:35Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?BUY0.0786238641$10.00