0x066C34A5443FD0044428D55f2d63528fc6B9791F-1760306077585
0x066c34a5443fd0044428d55f2d63528fc6b9791f
- Realised P&L
- $-55.58
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $21.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.029 | $16.51 | −$33.49 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.041 | $4.88 | −$5.12 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.64 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.98at 0.439Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$58.87at 0.578Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$5.82at 0.873Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.94at 0.909Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
- +$2.73at 0.840Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:14 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $22.64 |
| 05-02 12:18 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0878286989 | $50.00 |
| 04-14 17:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.6199999961 | $43.63 |
| 04-03 19:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999929 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 19:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.3626192446 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 19:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999991 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 10:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.294555413 | $30.00 |
| 02-18 13:10 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5439369136 | $30.00 |
| 02-17 11:43 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 16:48 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.839999993 | $14.32 |
| 01-06 13:33 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 01-06 13:26 | Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.93 |
| 01-04 16:00 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8729999924 | $40.00 |
| 01-03 16:20 | Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4? | BUY | 0.9095170904 | $40.00 |
| 12-07 14:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.96 | $39.00 |