PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

XO101

0x0665299f623cd9b14512b311d8e1356438054c8f

Realised P&L
$442.88
Volume
$50.4k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$964.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8420.895$326.92+$19.44
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8480.930$229.75+$20.47
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7700.945$208.64+$38.64
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8000.945$118.13+$18.13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6800.835$50.10+$9.30
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.370$18.50+$3.50
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1000.080$12.00$3.00
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.0170.000$0.00$0.85
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.00
Will there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.72
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$9.30
Will there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$2.04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$6.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 08:22Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?SELL0.08$1.20
04-29 10:10Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?BUY0.99$4.95
04-28 13:50North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?SELL0.21$4.15
04-28 12:32Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$7.48
04-28 03:56Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?SELL0.974$29.22
04-25 04:25Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?BUY0.9840573525$29.51
04-25 04:20Will there be exactly 5 major space weather events this week?SELL0.012416558$0.76
04-24 19:25Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7765479686$70.00
04-24 17:05Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?SELL0.088120048$19.09
04-24 09:06Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.9320758462$60.58
04-24 09:00Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?BUY0.9459999996$99.46
04-24 08:59Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?BUY0.9459999999$49.73
04-24 08:58Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.93$152.01
04-24 08:56Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?BUY0.8489999985$49.25
04-24 08:48Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?SELL0.2$5.00