PolyBot

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Traders

0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6

Realised P&L
$-925.34
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$106.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.2100.305$14.52+$4.52
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.2300.275$11.96+$1.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.7700.815$10.58+$0.58
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yes0.4400.435$9.89$0.11
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? · No0.7380.699$9.47$0.53
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No0.7500.685$9.13$0.87
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.4900.405$8.27$1.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No0.5300.435$8.21$1.79
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6700.505$7.54$2.46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7400.905$6.16+$1.12
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3700.095$2.57$7.43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4500.115$2.56$7.44
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? · No0.2600.065$2.50$7.50
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.520$1.99+$0.04
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3300.295$0.90$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 08:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
08-08 00:55Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3299997876$1.01
08-07 16:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
08-07 08:37Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.7379999342$10.00
08-07 00:37Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
08-06 16:36Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
08-06 08:35US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-06 00:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
08-05 16:31Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
08-05 08:30Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-05 00:27Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
08-04 16:25Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
08-04 08:22Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
08-04 00:22Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
08-03 16:21Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.75$10.00