0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6
- Realised P&L
- $-925.34
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $106.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$52.50at 0.160Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$48.82at 0.170Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5
- +$42.63at 0.190Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5
- +$42.55at 0.700Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 00:55 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3299997876 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 16:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 08:37 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.7379999342 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 00:37 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 16:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:35 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 08:30 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 00:27 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:25 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:22 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 00:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:21 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |