0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6
0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $44.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.740 | 0.999 | $6.80 | +$1.76 |
| CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.725 | $5.83 | +$0.36 |
| CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.615 | $5.51 | +$0.04 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.640 | 0.645 | $5.51 | +$0.04 |
| Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.650 | 0.655 | $5.51 | +$0.04 |
| Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.680 | 0.675 | $5.43 | −$0.04 |
| Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? · No | 0.660 | 0.645 | $5.35 | −$0.12 |
| Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.465 | $4.80 | −$0.67 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.055 | $0.21 | −$1.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.25at 0.164Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$52.25at 0.164Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$48.57at 0.174Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5
- +$42.39at 0.195Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5
- +$41.66at 0.706Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:36 | CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6099999643 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 13:23 | Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6599999831 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 11:08 | CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999702 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 07:26 | Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6499999703 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 07:06 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 06:24 | OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5999999781 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 05:00 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999702 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 04:37 | Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299999855 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 02:58 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.6099999643 | $5.47 |
| 09-30 00:13 | Rhode Island FC vs. Indy Eleven: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6599999831 | $5.47 |
| 09-29 19:08 | Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.5399999803 | $5.47 |
| 09-29 17:06 | Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999644 | $5.47 |
| 09-29 14:49 | Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599999831 | $5.47 |
| 09-29 06:24 | Miami FC vs. Sporting Jax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999644 | $5.47 |
| 09-29 04:35 | Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.5599999631 | $5.47 |