purchasefd
0x061cb915aefe7c71d8937535b971030b712b53cb
- Realised P&L
- $5.60
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $233.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · No | 0.954 | 0.957 | $49.42 | +$0.13 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.957 | $48.57 | −$0.23 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $47.01 | +$0.25 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.940 | $46.54 | −$0.94 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.969 | 0.968 | $42.16 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.944Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$1.27at 0.949Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$0.74at 0.940Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.967Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 12:43 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.9729999995 | $19.69 |