PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x05fcf70a4d3E5Ac55235fC47341f96d2DA477adA-1748123582077

0x05fcf70a4d3e5ac55235fc47341f96d2da477ada

Realised P&L
$247.13
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6210.935$563.79+$189.61
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes0.8450.835$425.15−$4.85
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5750.567$49.26−$0.74
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.8250.790$47.90−$2.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.835$27.22+$1.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:10US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.824690445$50.00
09-25 21:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5749999983$50.00
09-25 21:04Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.94$105.28
09-25 20:56Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.8467432942$130.00
09-25 20:56Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? SELL0.95$41.12
09-25 20:56Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?SELL0.9230224743$43.95
09-25 20:56China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.94$35.41
09-25 20:55Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.843570865$300.00
09-25 20:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.964$49.29
09-25 20:53Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.9716210847$264.60
06-02 11:39Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.79$88.48
05-26 08:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.75$20.99
05-26 08:09Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
05-26 08:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.84$41.25
05-26 08:08Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?BUY0.66$20.79