HeDidWearASuit
0x05c8cce6a8271a20a48babac2095c673676d2223
- Realised P&L
- $-8.6k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 2,466
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,466
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.590 | $295.00 | +$40.00 |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.615 | $240.16 | +$11.97 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? · No | 0.419 | 0.655 | $234.55 | +$84.62 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.715 | 0.770 | $192.48 | +$13.80 |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.991 | $40.53 | +$8.20 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22? · No | 0.550 | 0.255 | $15.30 | −$17.70 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? · No | 0.640 | 0.780 | $11.36 | +$2.04 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$1.10 |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.460 | $9.20 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.575Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.669Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.385China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.545France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$1.1kat 0.018Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 04:43 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $255.00 |
| 10-09 04:40 | Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5843379171 | $228.19 |
| 10-09 04:23 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-09 04:22 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-09 04:18 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.714799584 | $178.69 |
| 10-05 03:25 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.07 |
| 10-05 03:25 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.0107437209 | $5.06 |
| 10-05 03:09 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0598477336 | $10.55 |
| 10-04 16:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $89.01 |
| 10-04 16:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.674142938 | $250.25 |
| 10-04 15:53 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4137396877 | $121.37 |
| 10-03 18:33 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-01 08:40 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | BUY | 0.4186813371 | $149.93 |
| 10-01 08:39 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $88.48 |
| 09-29 01:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $29.27 |