0x05bb428a3370a6b953fda6eb7d869b0efd1456c8
0x05bb428a3370a6b953fda6eb7d869b0efd1456c8
- Realised P&L
- $4.49
- Volume
- $209.67
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.775 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.735 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.540 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:51 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:34 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:24 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:36 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:43 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:09 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |