hkchar6181
0x05ae2cec9960c7176646f606fab1bd9c5f6cc88b
- Realised P&L
- $-549.64
- Volume
- $47.2k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $82.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.61at 0.280US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$5.66at 0.329Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
- +$4.35at 0.260Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
- +$3.46at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$2.62at 0.280US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:51 | Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.50 |
| 10-05 08:01 | Rain during the Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-04 16:06 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $19.68 |
| 10-03 17:30 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.3818019093 | $3.20 |
| 10-03 15:56 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.03 |
| 09-27 18:58 | Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.459973 | $9.20 |
| 09-27 03:38 | Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.591 | $11.82 |
| 09-25 08:11 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.361 | $16.60 |
| 09-18 11:27 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.161 | $38.96 |
| 09-11 09:07 | Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-11 08:03 | Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 09-11 07:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.30 |
| 09-10 08:30 | Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? | SELL | 0.028695 | $0.57 |
| 09-10 06:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.85 |
| 09-10 06:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.65 |