hkchar6181
0x05ae2cec9960c7176646f606fab1bd9c5f6cc88b
- Realised P&L
- $-415.09
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $50.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.61at 0.280US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$6.00at 0.260Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
- +$5.66at 0.329Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
- +$3.46at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$2.62at 0.280US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:02 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 07-31 20:59 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.79 | $16.59 |
| 07-31 18:56 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 07-29 15:54 | Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 07-28 14:07 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.3 | $7.50 |
| 07-22 16:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 07-21 07:30 | CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%? | SELL | 0.7 | $16.10 |
| 07-20 10:55 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.34 |
| 07-20 09:10 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.58 |
| 07-20 07:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $96.40 |
| 07-18 08:54 | Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.76 |
| 07-16 18:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.51 | $59.16 |
| 07-13 14:16 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 07-13 05:04 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31? | SELL | 0.215 | $7.09 |
| 07-12 05:50 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31? | SELL | 0.196 | $4.90 |