PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Papelazo

0x0594736df8edb63e6a6ea259e4fdad66183211ec

Realised P&L
$-7.94
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$3.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2600.135$1.04$0.96
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0860.043$0.99$1.01
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.1840.065$0.71$1.29
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? · Yes0.0900.021$0.46$1.54
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.5000.090$0.36$1.64
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? · Up0.3700.000$0.00$2.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15? · Up0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum all time high by December 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4? · Up0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.99
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29? · Down0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28? · Down0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:59S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?SELL0.77$5.31
09-16 13:52S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
09-16 13:09S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?SELL0.35$2.00
09-16 11:41S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-04 14:26S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-14 11:17S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-10 16:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?SELL0.71$3.22
08-10 14:05S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-07 13:48S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-29 13:59S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
07-28 14:53S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
07-28 14:27S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?SELL0.37$2.31
07-28 14:18S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?BUY0.3203882531$2.00
07-27 15:41S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.32$2.00
07-24 15:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?SELL0.74$3.08