0x0591D7e0046A269302f55Afa8da5D0eCB5BdCC74-1783087454688
0x0591d7e0046a269302f55afa8da5d0ecb5bdcc74
- Realised P&L
- $95.93
- Volume
- $50.8k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $507.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.660 | 0.625 | $306.66 | −$17.17 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.205 | $200.42 | −$219.98 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.92 |
| LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · The Secret Club Esport | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.32at 0.351Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner
- +$172.03at 0.740Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$132.72at 0.802Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5
- +$72.22at 0.787Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.92at 0.826Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:32 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:32 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs salamit (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B | BUY | 0.9899999981 | $256.90 |
| 10-14 09:52 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A | BUY | 0.9969999871 | $46.46 |
| 10-14 09:40 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A | BUY | 0.9774782638 | $255.10 |
| 10-02 13:54 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.9889998402 | $2.71 |
| 10-02 13:54 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.9889998402 | $2.71 |
| 10-02 13:54 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.988999833 | $1.51 |
| 10-02 13:51 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:50 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $63.87 |
| 10-02 13:50 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.11 |
| 10-02 13:49 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.978999983 | $53.41 |
| 10-02 13:48 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.989 | $63.93 |
| 10-02 13:47 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.9969999983 | $27.80 |
| 10-02 13:46 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.9969092323 | $42.84 |