DegenPlayPuz
0x0573f83f33212c001a57433a52756b45e9de0099
- Realised P&L
- $-279.88
- Volume
- $64.2k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $36.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.33at 0.043Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?
- +$59.21at 0.046Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 20?
- +$24.41at 0.170Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$13.45at 0.072Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$10.11at 0.090Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 18:23 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.00 |
| 05-23 13:51 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.709999874 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 13:50 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 13:50 | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 13:49 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 13:49 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 10:53 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.0314285715 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 19:30 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 19:30 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 19:29 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 19:23 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.0173242724 | $10.00 |
| 04-18 16:33 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 16:32 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 16:30 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 16:29 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |