PolyBot

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Traders

KingLurch

0x05504ab11bf87cdbbbacb1b18d4abd5d5fb7c0f3

Realised P&L
$-224.00
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$26.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · Yes0.7220.375$23.75−$21.99
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.028$2.75−$7.25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$6.40
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.3380.000$0.00−$25.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$4.30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$59.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$30.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? · No0.5080.000$0.00−$29.82
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 11:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.7221063986$45.74
09-20 04:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$34.43
08-05 23:40US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.4199999646$4.99
08-05 23:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-15 04:50Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.992$9.92
06-15 01:23US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.1699999817$6.40
06-14 22:49Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$5.56
06-13 21:10US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?BUY0.3599999922$26.00
06-13 21:09US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?BUY0.3379721591$25.00
06-13 21:08Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY0.579999983$30.00
06-13 21:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699999934$30.00
05-18 20:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?BUY0.5753131239$9.82
05-04 12:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.309999997$46.62
05-04 12:21Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
05-02 10:17Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.5499999847$9.00