Fonsinho
0x0525100eb74e77ac2e650b6a417ee4985398c737
- Realised P&L
- $139.60
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $120.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.07at 0.781Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$82.68at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$64.82at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$53.33at 0.527New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$52.87at 0.276Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:12 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0447761194 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 19:11 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.345962606 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 19:08 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 18:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.86 |
| 10-15 19:26 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 18:45 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 18:33 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | SELL | 0.23 | $12.00 |
| 10-15 18:29 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $23.09 |
| 10-15 18:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.84 |
| 10-13 19:11 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5131578812 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 18:07 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.2299999958 | $12.00 |
| 10-10 00:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7219999895 | $28.00 |
| 10-09 22:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 22:54 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19? | BUY | 0.7417582316 | $18.00 |
| 10-09 22:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $26.75 |