0x050F77Ce313A24B2E877AeCfD7f8bb046701053e-1768482378927
0x050f77ce313a24b2e877aecfd7f8bb046701053e
- Realised P&L
- $-80.89
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $22.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.830 | $18.58 | +$3.58 |
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.980 | 0.951 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.913 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.986 | 0.933 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.780 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.730 | 0.145 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winner · Trace Esports | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1 · VARREL | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 20? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.46at 0.754Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$14.99at 0.890Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
- +$8.80at 0.916Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.59 |
| 09-13 01:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 00:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 01:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7409999858 | $49.68 |
| 08-17 06:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $119.00 |
| 08-17 06:49 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.01 |
| 07-12 22:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.03 |
| 07-12 22:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-03 09:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.91 | $95.00 |
| 07-03 09:16 | Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.979 | $0.99 |
| 07-02 00:24 | Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.01 |
| 06-11 12:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 10:46 | Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 | SELL | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 05-19 09:45 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.05 |
| 05-19 09:45 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.09 |