0x050AbFCFC994Fdd6521Db215Ff2FFc28204f2B7C-1772977371345
0x050abfcfc994fdd6521db215ff2ffc28204f2b7c
- Realised P&L
- $-435.94
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.041 | $9.07 | −$4.93 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.004 | $1.19 | −$3.81 |
| Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$336.91 |
| Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.30at 0.059Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 01:04 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0632666195 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 01:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0146484376 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 20:59 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 01:37 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0145086002 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 01:35 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | 0.0269595581 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 17:00 | Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0196671489 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 01:17 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | 0.0258165998 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 00:03 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.035906461 | $299.55 |
| 03-09 22:58 | Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30? | SELL | 0.0335482915 | $1.70 |
| 03-09 22:57 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.0329999928 | $4.37 |
| 03-08 22:37 | Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.059247556 | $3.00 |
| 03-08 21:17 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1095456748 | $6.00 |
| 03-08 15:11 | Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31? | BUY | 0.0177245546 | $3.00 |
| 03-08 14:25 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.032 | $33.00 |