0x05014959e90aC3Ce88E8034fCDCE58414FD73416-1779364506559
0x05014959e90ac3ce88e8034fcdce58414fd73416
- Realised P&L
- $-32.89
- Volume
- $761.42
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $37.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.39at 0.420Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$2.56at 0.690Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.820Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
- +$-0.02at 0.961Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$-4.99at 0.507Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 17:01 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.946 | $0.98 |
| 05-21 14:28 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.49 | $97.73 |
| 05-21 14:28 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $99.72 |
| 05-21 14:15 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |