XrushChov
0x04f9254c0f02c125beb55d89cd47e1191f0767ce
- Realised P&L
- $-128.26
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $69.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.25at 0.160Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$44.26at 0.120Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$36.08at 0.280Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$32.75at 0.233US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$32.41at 0.236Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 09:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1049999909 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999336 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 19:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 06-29 13:44 | Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 06:22 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999952 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 06:20 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $11.67 |
| 06-22 22:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 22:23 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 19:35 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.0856147263 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 13:25 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.70 |
| 05-23 19:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1429999896 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 19:03 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1509999885 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 19:54 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 11:35 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |