0x04f54feaa265e6bb02fa348f12ad0c7050b8fd5f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $308.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.085 | $118.20 | −$61.80 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $68.79 | −$1.21 |
| Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.100 | $37.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.027 | $29.91 | +$9.91 |
| Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No | 0.202 | 0.210 | $25.35 | +$1.00 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.049 | $19.19 | −$10.81 |
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.030 | $10.04 | −$9.96 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:10 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.2017159759 | $24.35 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.0180537376 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 15:55 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999992 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 15:51 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0758267029 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.0607433544 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 13:42 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1294400996 | $180.00 |