breezyjpg
0x04eca20ff2761bc635ec4a827251d5435629232a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $304.4k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $236.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.278 | $139.00 | −$40.25 |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.185 | $56.93 | −$9.76 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.041 | $40.50 | −$3.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.00at 0.400Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$750.71at 0.420Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September?
- +$679.19at 0.173Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$543.91at 0.950Heat vs. Rockets
- +$505.95at 0.640Clippers vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0435274 | $43.53 |
| 10-11 18:22 | Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2173032663 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 21:10 | Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.284268577 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 13:57 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.55 | $112.82 |
| 10-07 22:21 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $102.56 |
| 10-06 20:40 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 17:32 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.1541761501 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 07:32 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.0434353483 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 19:04 | Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 10-01 19:03 | Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 15:47 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.33 | $34.86 |
| 09-26 03:20 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.991794368 | $1.5k |
| 09-24 10:34 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3585 | $179.25 |
| 09-23 13:22 | Will broky join a team before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-18 11:43 | Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $23.91 |