PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sjs8282

0x04d4a5eaef945f345726710562ee0d0d4503d93d

Realised P&L
$-116.88
Volume
$9.2k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$112.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes0.8200.963$105.64+$15.64
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8700.979$6.75+$0.75
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 · Under0.8200.000$0.00$74.68
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 12:42Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8699999971$6.00
08-11 05:41Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 12?BUY0.9699999968$6.00
08-11 05:34Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?BUY0.8199999993$90.00
08-11 05:33Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$2.06
07-11 21:45Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5BUY0.9669999999$70.00
07-11 21:44Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5599999462$10.00
07-09 21:33France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5BUY0.9829999999$79.00
07-09 21:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.82$75.23
07-09 21:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.61$5.00
07-06 19:00United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5BUY0.8199999987$74.68
07-06 15:56Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-06 15:55Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?BUY0.059999989$5.00
07-06 15:55Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-06 01:44Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?SELL0.19$10.55
07-06 01:41Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.8599999997$58.00