0x04c7eb9c35d93b0e9dea6484eca3fddf409189b4
0x04c7eb9c35d93b0e9dea6484eca3fddf409189b4
- Realised P&L
- $0.59
- Volume
- $119.28
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.650 | 0.997 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.700 | 0.855 | $1.39 | +$0.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.440 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.78at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.93at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.63at 0.308Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.369Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:49 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:42 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:41 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:33 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:03 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:03 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099999128 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 14:29 | Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7199999747 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 06:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999621 | $1.14 |
| 09-20 21:43 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.14 |
| 09-19 04:54 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998234 | $1.14 |
| 09-18 09:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5899998137 | $1.14 |