PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Red781RuM

0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf

Realised P&L
$42.5k
Volume
$1.57M
Markets traded
1,002
Open portfolio
$67.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,002
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5110.905$15.9k+$6.9k
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.6610.290$5.0k$6.3k
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.6620.690$3.7k+$148.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.905$1.9k+$57.32
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.952$1.9k+$244.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7150.845$1.7k+$261.61
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.6450.845$1.6k+$387.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7850.795$1.6k+$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7750.785$1.6k+$20.00
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.860$1.5k+$17.22
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.5510.700$1.4k+$301.64
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.7900.920$1.4k+$195.00
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7140.845$1.3k+$203.90
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.7620.840$1.3k+$119.83
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8210.940$1.3k+$158.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:52Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.228$34.20
08-02 20:43Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.41$6.92
08-02 20:26Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.2$24.20
08-02 20:25Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.41$143.50
08-02 20:13Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$8.76
08-02 20:10Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.2$159.20
08-02 20:07Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.87$23.99
08-02 19:46Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.88$440.00
08-02 19:42Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.07$36.06
08-02 08:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.12$30.00
08-02 08:47Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.43$66.65
08-01 03:47Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.66$6.31
07-31 18:48Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.19$61.37
07-31 04:10Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8189172345$155.05
07-31 04:09Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$455.70