PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MrBlackistone

0x04aff30971886e88a84d8e2631e32e93278d9a07

Realised P&L
$-407.00
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$780.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1820.145$397.46−$102.54
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No0.0830.100$119.89+$19.89
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.425$106.38+$86.38
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.032$90.45−$514.54
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.042$44.67+$11.67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3400.145$21.46−$28.85
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.5760.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? · No0.1990.000$0.00−$27.00
Crude Oil all time high by April 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$50.00
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? · No0.1030.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:57Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0306554445$33.00
10-01 11:29Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.0829947879$100.00
10-01 11:25Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.182407718$500.00
10-01 11:25Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.222085445$600.00
10-01 11:19Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.04$5.00
04-27 03:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3399999961$50.31
04-09 11:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
04-09 11:21Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?BUY0.103150786$50.00
04-09 11:19Crude Oil all time high by April 30?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
04-09 11:16Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5759999979$100.00
04-09 11:14Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5755102389$100.00
04-09 11:12Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?BUY0.2599999945$30.00
04-09 11:10Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.08$20.00
04-09 11:04Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?BUY0.1991529362$27.00