PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gggbonddd

0x049ac802c78d0576b2de97c440e1b87c43169d54

Realised P&L
$-417.96
Volume
$76.9k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$46.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0440.045$23.98+$0.66
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.024$15.61+$2.61
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6? · Yes0.0110.005$5.00$6.08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · Yes0.0020.003$1.33+$0.26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? · Yes0.0120.001$0.63$14.84
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 4? · Yes0.0200.001$0.13$4.88
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 16? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 17? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$7.81
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 17? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$9.43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 4? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.72
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 6? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$18.47
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$29.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$18.49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on July 17? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$4.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5?BUY0.011$1.37
08-02 04:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5?BUY0.003$0.02
08-02 04:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5?BUY0.01$0.98
08-02 04:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5?BUY0.002$1.06
07-31 18:54Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6?BUY0.019$2.28
07-31 18:53Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6?BUY0.01$0.81
07-30 11:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 4?BUY0.02$5.00
07-30 02:34Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.036$2.94
07-30 02:26Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.034$1.76
07-30 02:14Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.033$3.63
07-30 02:11Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.026$3.12
07-30 02:09Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?BUY0.012$6.32
07-28 15:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.31
07-28 15:26Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.007$7.20
07-27 23:57Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.77