PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goingsocial

0x04902c7046da0f93f29d070b00f9366a165ac81f

Realised P&L
$42.6k
Volume
$7.16M
Markets traded
585
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded585
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No0.5130.997$7.2k+$3.5k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.097$5.3k+$918.93
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.7900.850$4.2k+$293.44
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1500.165$825.00+$75.00
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? · No0.4990.725$380.63+$118.38
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0590.029$118.35$117.19
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.3100.905$115.23+$75.76
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0270.015$53.25$38.73
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.048$16.70+$4.40
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0110.004$4.76$10.93
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0350.004$0.93$8.28
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$121.97
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$476.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.15$195.00
09-10 11:37Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0115327083$15.70
08-30 15:40Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.28$476.90
08-30 15:17Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0348009555$8.60
08-30 15:17Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?BUY0.031$0.62
08-30 15:15Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0267734021$91.98
08-30 15:15Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0392436264$53.64
08-29 18:43Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.7071159622$656.92
08-27 21:06Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.5132892639$4.2k
08-26 21:38Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0523186342$64.14
08-20 18:27Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.26$338.00
08-19 11:57Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?BUY0.0577157783$121.97
08-11 23:19Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUY0.7$1.6k
08-11 08:30Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$12.25
08-11 08:12Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$250.00