goingsocial
0x04902c7046da0f93f29d070b00f9366a165ac81f
- Realised P&L
- $42.6k
- Volume
- $7.16M
- Markets traded
- 585
- Open portfolio
- $18.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded585
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.5kat 0.049Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$17.8kat 0.466Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?
- +$17.7kat 0.668Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.0kat 0.055Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
- +$13.6kat 0.268Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $195.00 |
| 09-10 11:37 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0115327083 | $15.70 |
| 08-30 15:40 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.28 | $476.90 |
| 08-30 15:17 | Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0348009555 | $8.60 |
| 08-30 15:17 | Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 08-30 15:15 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0267734021 | $91.98 |
| 08-30 15:15 | Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0392436264 | $53.64 |
| 08-29 18:43 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.7071159622 | $656.92 |
| 08-27 21:06 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.5132892639 | $4.2k |
| 08-26 21:38 | Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0523186342 | $64.14 |
| 08-20 18:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $338.00 |
| 08-19 11:57 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | BUY | 0.0577157783 | $121.97 |
| 08-11 23:19 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.6k |
| 08-11 08:30 | Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 08-11 08:12 | Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |