PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

goingsocial

0x04902c7046da0f93f29d070b00f9366a165ac81f

Realised P&L
$38.0k
Volume
$7.12M
Markets traded
575
Open portfolio
$13.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded575
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0820.086$4.7k+$174.55
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.7900.875$4.3k+$416.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5550.695$4.2k+$840.53
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.2300.021$120.42$1.2k
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.2320.022$117.60$1.1k
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.3100.455$57.94+$18.46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.048$16.70+$4.40
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$528.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 12:11Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?SELL0.16$39.49
07-27 12:10Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?SELL0.1590328574$421.14
07-21 21:36Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.12$29.62
07-21 21:36Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.1083208769$241.28
07-21 21:36Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.115$3.98
07-14 08:24Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.83$2.5k
07-14 08:23Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.0515532286$360.87
07-13 21:50Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.2320877721$1.2k
07-13 21:49Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.23$1.3k
07-12 21:39Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.09$1.71
07-12 21:37Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0769808529$538.87
07-10 01:54Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.7165752512$2.1k
06-22 01:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5548112833$3.3k
06-21 04:35Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?BUY0.301858748$1.9k
06-18 23:54Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?BUY0.4842857143$50.85