0x0457398e18d804208d40c8e4b9e09b4a513cb212
0x0457398e18d804208d40c8e4b9e09b4a513cb212
- Realised P&L
- $3.58
- Volume
- $144.98
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $3.70
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.775 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.610 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.605 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.195 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.64at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:35 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:09 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |