PolyBot

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Traders

Predictor48

0x04419d64260ebe2202736676380ba40d982e194c

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 20:28Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$27.59
07-02 20:32Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$30.71
05-29 21:56Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$67.56
03-21 12:08Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.5k
03-13 01:10Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$141.90
03-12 00:29Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.012$120.00
03-12 00:29Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.012$120.00
03-12 00:24Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.012$1.4k
03-11 12:52Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.012$171.97
03-07 01:20Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$2.0k
02-15 03:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.53$24.65
02-15 03:53Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$20.00
02-15 03:50Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.017$0.43
02-15 03:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.44$8.53
02-15 03:36Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSELL0.78$30.71