PolyBot

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Traders

billyliu001

0x043ff7b81f67a745a2488429057b10697994d9e1

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$321.9k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$16.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0350.053$11.51+$3.91
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0360.024$3.52$1.88
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1940.037$1.22$5.17
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$0.25$0.07
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.0530.061$0.06+$0.01
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.004$0.00$0.03
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$150.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$146.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$33.75
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$150.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$548.58
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$2.40
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$11.01
Will Comey smile in his mugshot? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 10:44Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0110680908$2.90
07-14 10:44Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.0318945566$20.00
07-14 10:42Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0559218111$10.67
07-14 10:40Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.0547636506$10.00
07-14 10:36Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0842005041$6.01
07-14 10:36Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.1255605274$10.00
07-14 10:22Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.09$2.88
07-14 10:22Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.26$4.17
07-14 10:20Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.38$6.09
07-14 10:12Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.65$1.00
07-14 10:01Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.1972222222$3.55
07-14 09:59Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.2$10.00
07-14 09:59Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.31$7.75
06-30 00:40Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.41$31.98
06-30 00:40Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.022$12.78