PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

billyliu001

0x043ff7b81f67a745a2488429057b10697994d9e1

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$321.8k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$15.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0350.030$6.63$0.98
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0360.026$3.98$1.42
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1940.070$2.32$4.07
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.175$1.80$0.26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$0.25$0.07
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.0530.063$0.06+$0.01
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.013$0.01$0.02
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$150.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$146.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$33.75
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$150.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$548.58
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$2.40
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$11.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 10:44Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0110680908$2.90
07-14 10:44Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.0318945566$20.00
07-14 10:42Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0559218111$10.67
07-14 10:40Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.0547636506$10.00
07-14 10:36Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.0842005041$6.01
07-14 10:36Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.1255605274$10.00
07-14 10:22Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.09$2.88
07-14 10:22Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.26$4.17
07-14 10:20Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.38$6.09
07-14 10:12Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.65$1.00
07-14 10:01Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.1972222222$3.55
07-14 09:59Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.2$10.00
07-14 09:59Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.31$7.75
06-30 00:40Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.41$31.98
06-30 00:40Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.022$12.78