PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

58f4dhg1f854h

0x040750c77dd98a2b67ddcc266fa98453f4cfbcfd

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$41.6k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$529.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7600.625$62.50−$13.50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4300.445$44.50+$1.50
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8390.684$34.23−$7.72
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.630$31.50+$4.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.545$27.25+$0.25
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3500.986$19.72+$12.72
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8100.974$19.47+$3.27
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.4300.940$18.80+$10.20
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · No0.8800.905$18.10+$0.50
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.885$17.70+$0.70
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8000.835$16.70+$0.70
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8500.830$16.60−$0.40
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.815$16.30−$0.10
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7300.815$16.30+$1.70
Will the Texans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6900.745$14.90+$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:30Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.07$1.40
08-20 07:30Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?SELL0.3225$6.45
08-20 07:30Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 03:39Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.013$0.26
08-19 03:39Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
08-19 03:38Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.63$12.60
08-18 03:48Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
08-18 03:48Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?SELL0.37$7.40
08-18 03:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.56$11.20
08-18 03:48Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 14:38Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?SELL0.26$5.20
08-17 14:38Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19?SELL0.73$14.60
08-17 06:50Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
08-17 06:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.13$2.60
08-17 06:49Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?SELL0.46$9.20