58f4dhg1f854h
0x040750c77dd98a2b67ddcc266fa98453f4cfbcfd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $529.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.50at 0.500Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?
- +$78.45at 0.500Louisville vs. Washington
- +$42.00at 0.320Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$30.00at 0.700Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$16.00at 0.840Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:30 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-20 07:30 | Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | SELL | 0.3225 | $6.45 |
| 08-20 07:30 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-19 03:39 | Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.26 |
| 08-19 03:39 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-19 03:38 | Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-18 03:48 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-18 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-18 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-18 03:48 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-17 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-17 06:50 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-17 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-17 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |