PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

58f4dhg1f854h

0x040750c77dd98a2b67ddcc266fa98453f4cfbcfd

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$484.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? · Yes0.8600.615$61.50$24.50
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7600.585$58.50$17.50
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.7000.566$56.55$13.45
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9000.845$42.25$2.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4300.405$40.50$2.50
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8390.726$36.30$5.65
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · No0.7700.655$32.75$5.75
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7100.590$29.50$6.00
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · No0.6410.490$24.52$7.52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.4100.325$16.25$4.25
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes0.7300.725$14.50$0.10
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3000.285$14.24$0.76
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? · Yes0.3600.255$12.75$5.25
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · No0.7600.620$12.40$2.80
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? · Yes0.6900.510$10.20$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:46Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?SELL0.83$83.00
08-04 08:59Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.89$89.00
08-04 02:51Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?SELL0.11$2.20
08-04 02:51Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?SELL0.05$2.50
08-04 02:51Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.05$2.50
08-04 02:51Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?SELL0.18$3.60
08-04 02:51Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.35$17.50
08-04 02:51Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.37$18.50
08-04 02:51Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.582$29.10
08-04 02:50Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?SELL0.6$30.00
08-04 02:50Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.7$31.50
08-04 02:50Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?SELL0.65$32.50
08-03 20:12Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.17$8.50
08-03 06:48Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.52$26.00
08-03 03:49Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?SELL0.16$3.20