PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DontTrustMe

0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$144.0k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$18.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5130.680$2.1k+$523.34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7220.835$1.8k+$249.00
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8640.940$1.3k+$104.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8330.997$1.2k+$196.41
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · No0.6570.735$1.1k+$117.50
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · No0.8530.960$1.0k+$114.62
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8320.939$785.90+$89.45
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8090.905$700.03+$74.50
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.8290.970$678.64+$98.65
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.7160.977$587.85+$157.26
Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? · Yes0.6050.655$503.83+$38.53
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.8520.968$501.08+$59.82
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8360.968$483.75+$65.55
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.7460.925$462.49+$89.47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? · No0.6470.645$387.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:37Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?BUY0.65$26.00
10-25 21:09Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?BUY0.58634$293.17
10-25 16:55Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.87$34.80
10-25 16:54Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.87$34.80
10-25 16:54Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.87$87.00
10-25 16:53Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9509792596$475.48
10-25 16:08Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.944$642.13
10-25 16:07Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.953$48.60
10-25 15:36Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9652890153$162.92
10-23 20:52Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?BUY0.55360036$30.75
10-23 20:51Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$16.72
10-23 20:50Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?BUY0.36$1.80
10-23 10:01France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?BUY0.11$275.00
10-22 18:45Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.42$37.80
10-21 14:01Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.5804347448$66.76