PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DontTrustMe

0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee

Realised P&L
$11.1k
Volume
$113.1k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7150.805$1.5k+$167.54
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8640.963$1.3k+$135.90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8330.895$1.1k+$74.01
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.7280.996$939.88+$253.01
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · No0.7820.855$885.63+$75.58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8750.966$868.95+$80.95
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7360.875$787.50+$125.41
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8320.940$766.94+$87.76
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.7160.981$590.25+$159.67
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.8580.971$582.60+$67.60
Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? · No0.8750.951$562.15+$44.33
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9000.983$491.25+$41.25
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.8520.940$486.58+$45.32
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8360.945$472.50+$54.30
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.6980.922$461.25+$112.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:36SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.5346511628$22.99
09-15 08:53SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.52$13.00
09-11 22:04Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6425090169$69.47
09-09 07:57Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.635116078$146.91
09-07 21:30Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
09-07 21:25Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$264.00
09-07 20:57Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?BUY0.89$35.60
09-07 20:47Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?BUY0.8948473097$73.84
09-04 22:03Will Emmanuel Macron attend King Harald V's funeral?BUY0.9$27.00
09-04 21:43Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?BUY0.8635460993$121.76
09-02 10:24Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.565$22.60
08-30 12:41Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.82$20.50
08-30 12:41National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?SELL0.83$67.33
08-28 11:51Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.8432170327$288.32
08-28 11:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.999$1.4k