PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dingguagua

0x03ebca56b77c45f95ab7d458ecb09872c132d4ba

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$232.4k
Markets traded
2,424
Open portfolio
$911.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,424
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.6760.455$814.15$396.08
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0260.004$49.00$320.87
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1900.125$48.47$25.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Up0.0730.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.0550.000$0.00$2.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00$10.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.0150.000$0.00$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.0350.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 04:46Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1895419847$73.50
07-31 20:01StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.51$64.26
07-29 17:15GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.5789406894$64.33
07-29 02:39GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.65$325.00
07-28 16:55Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.779$7.79
07-27 17:41Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?SELL0.11$12.10
07-27 07:47Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?BUY0.35$7.00
07-27 07:47Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?BUY0.1338997988$103.16
07-27 07:47Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?BUY0.325667415$82.68
07-19 07:16Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsBUY0.53$193.52
07-18 15:50Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0331278128$132.51
07-18 15:03Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.028$6.94
07-18 15:02Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0236300459$230.43
07-05 18:11Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?SELL0.966$59.85
07-05 17:58Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.005$1.30