dingguagua
0x03ebca56b77c45f95ab7d458ecb09872c132d4ba
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $232.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,424
- Open portfolio
- $911.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.244GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$928.48at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?
- +$481.95at 0.314BNB Up or Down on May 8?
- +$301.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$258.39at 0.750Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 04:46 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1895419847 | $73.50 |
| 07-31 20:01 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.51 | $64.26 |
| 07-29 17:15 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5789406894 | $64.33 |
| 07-29 02:39 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $325.00 |
| 07-28 16:55 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.779 | $7.79 |
| 07-27 17:41 | Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $12.10 |
| 07-27 07:47 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 07:47 | Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.1338997988 | $103.16 |
| 07-27 07:47 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.325667415 | $82.68 |
| 07-19 07:16 | Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots | BUY | 0.53 | $193.52 |
| 07-18 15:50 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0331278128 | $132.51 |
| 07-18 15:03 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.028 | $6.94 |
| 07-18 15:02 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0236300459 | $230.43 |
| 07-05 18:11 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.966 | $59.85 |
| 07-05 17:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.30 |