0x03e7807b33bbd67b6684433fc85a226388be1a63
- Realised P&L
- $33.00
- Volume
- $361.40
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.913 | 0.955 | $10.40 | +$0.45 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.015 | $3.56 | −$11.36 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.025 | $0.53 | −$9.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.63at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.70at 0.966Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 00:25 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.0607272933 | $14.92 |
| 04-07 00:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9129999926 | $9.95 |
| 04-03 22:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.9659999535 | $19.90 |
| 04-03 22:05 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.4599999917 | $9.95 |
| 04-03 22:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1589999875 | $9.95 |