PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qqqowsd

0x03c6f0ce3a1376fc7cbf622ecd08d503a1efb49c

Realised P&L
$152.69
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$543.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.5500.974$194.70+$84.72
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5400.615$141.45+$17.30
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.6000.999$122.88+$49.08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.972$48.60+$4.10
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4450.430$12.90$0.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3700.385$11.55+$0.45
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.2100.123$6.15$4.35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2600.034$4.01$26.67
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.5010.145$0.91$2.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:27Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.45$6.75
09-19 03:24Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.44$6.60
08-02 06:59OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.21$10.50
07-25 07:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.741$14.82
06-28 06:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$12.35
05-11 14:20Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.87$30.45
04-27 14:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.37$11.10
03-31 14:04Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY0.73$60.61
03-26 00:40EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.58$63.22
03-17 14:16Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.11$6.60
03-17 14:12Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.6$73.80
03-17 14:09Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.26$30.68
03-15 11:49Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.381$381.00
03-11 09:33Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.5498950645$109.98
03-10 13:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5397839043$124.15