qqqowsd
0x03c6f0ce3a1376fc7cbf622ecd08d503a1efb49c
- Realised P&L
- $152.69
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $543.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.550 | 0.974 | $194.70 | +$84.72 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.540 | 0.615 | $141.45 | +$17.30 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.999 | $122.88 | +$49.08 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.972 | $48.60 | +$4.10 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.430 | $12.90 | −$0.45 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.385 | $11.55 | +$0.45 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No | 0.210 | 0.123 | $6.15 | −$4.35 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.034 | $4.01 | −$26.67 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.501 | 0.145 | $0.91 | −$2.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.56at 0.520Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$45.78at 0.580EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$22.42at 0.730Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$4.99at 0.750Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.43at 0.873Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:27 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-19 03:24 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 08-02 06:59 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 07-25 07:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.741 | $14.82 |
| 06-28 06:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.35 |
| 05-11 14:20 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.87 | $30.45 |
| 04-27 14:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 03-31 14:04 | Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.73 | $60.61 |
| 03-26 00:40 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $63.22 |
| 03-17 14:16 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-17 14:12 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $73.80 |
| 03-17 14:09 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $30.68 |
| 03-15 11:49 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.381 | $381.00 |
| 03-11 09:33 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.5498950645 | $109.98 |
| 03-10 13:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5397839043 | $124.15 |