Quick-Witted-Yew
0x03c3bf36de8ee4eb768d5fb7add8d14e0d9266a6
- Realised P&L
- $-117.57
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $426.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.25at 0.667Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$183.35at 0.540Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
- +$141.14at 0.690Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$70.82at 0.809Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$63.75at 0.320Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during North Carolina rally October 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 09:52 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4715 | $47.15 |
| 10-19 09:51 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 10-19 09:50 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3585657331 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 13:06 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 13:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 13:52 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999997 | $110.00 |
| 10-07 13:52 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 13:51 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8809999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 12:56 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $30.00 |
| 07-08 15:13 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.249 | $49.80 |
| 07-08 09:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.185 | $9.16 |
| 07-08 09:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.156 | $8.30 |
| 07-08 09:42 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.021 | $11.67 |
| 07-08 09:41 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 06:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999829 | $5.00 |