betjunkie
0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $481.3k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.603Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$2.6kat 0.914Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$1.4kat 0.814Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$1.3kat 0.773Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.846Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 22:24 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $711.00 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $195.36 |
| 09-13 20:45 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-13 19:46 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.7 | $77.00 |
| 09-12 18:59 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $228.00 |
| 09-12 18:58 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $778.87 |
| 09-05 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $22.60 |
| 09-05 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $4.58 |
| 09-05 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-05 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |