0x039fce2d3c7d03a5622545fc862d4aa0dddac382
0x039fce2d3c7d03a5622545fc862d4aa0dddac382
- Realised P&L
- $10.37
- Volume
- $237.37
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $11.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.69at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:58 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |