0x038a41690bdef5a40fb91975dcfbb0cd3791309e
- Realised P&L
- $25.96
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $752.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.26at 0.495Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.022Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.04at 0.015Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.23at 0.040Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.23at 0.060Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 16:49 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2774359086 | $127.16 |
| 04-18 16:46 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $36.70 |
| 04-18 00:39 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.113 | $5.11 |
| 04-18 00:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $25.99 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.039 | $8.81 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0370845562 | $21.05 |
| 04-18 00:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $27.72 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $20.30 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.59 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.114 | $5.15 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.04 | $9.04 |
| 04-18 00:30 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.64 |
| 04-18 00:29 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.65 |
| 04-18 00:26 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.037 | $9.98 |
| 04-18 00:26 | Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | BUY | 0.429851958 | $69.55 |