PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LV3

0x038a41690bdef5a40fb91975dcfbb0cd3791309e

Realised P&L
$228.17
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$703.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.2261.000$253.66+$196.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · Yes0.2331.000$247.21+$189.71
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.6001.000$125.00+$50.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0291.000$26.32+$25.56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.175$18.62−$13.30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4090.085$16.68−$63.65
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1700.025$9.16−$51.92
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0570.013$5.27−$17.93
Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.2000.002$0.85−$112.55
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.005$0.39−$0.25
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.003$0.08−$0.22
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.02−$0.01
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$3.19
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$3.30
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 16:49Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2774359086$127.16
04-18 16:46Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$36.70
04-18 00:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.113$5.11
04-18 00:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.3$25.99
04-18 00:30Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.039$8.81
04-18 00:30Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0370845562$21.05
04-18 00:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.32$27.72
04-18 00:30Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.041$20.30
04-18 00:30Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.014$0.59
04-18 00:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.114$5.15
04-18 00:30Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.04$9.04
04-18 00:30Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$0.64
04-18 00:29Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$0.65
04-18 00:26Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.037$9.98
04-18 00:26Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?BUY0.429851958$69.55