PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Zentrader

0x035c4e9a3b8d38c2943e27da692f8cace0abfa8e

Realised P&L
$-661.81
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$58.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? · Yes0.7100.660$27.89−$2.11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2800.235$16.79−$3.21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7700.695$13.54−$1.46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2420.155$0.64−$0.36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2200.001$0.00−$1.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$2.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before July? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 14:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2799999978$20.00
10-27 07:41Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?BUY0.7099999953$30.00
09-30 11:16Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7699999795$15.00
09-11 12:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999999$115.00
09-04 12:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999985$100.00
09-04 12:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999992$200.00
09-03 13:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6199999989$211.00
08-28 19:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$115.00
08-28 12:53Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
08-28 12:52Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
07-29 18:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$800.17
07-27 14:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7629999988$400.00
07-27 12:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7949999999$220.00
07-05 15:16Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-05 15:15Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.56$1.82