PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x035B278391a2931071403Cae4a3D037F9B3aC6dD-1779110107073

0x035b278391a2931071403cae4a3d037f9b3ac6dd

Realised P&L
$-15.2k
Volume
$775.3k
Markets traded
5,419
Open portfolio
$152.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,419
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.030$30.11+$1.12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8700.931$19.28+$1.28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.595$14.87+$7.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2000.895$8.12+$6.30
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1000.075$6.04$1.96
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0640.024$5.67$9.33
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8170.805$5.54$0.08
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8150.915$4.49+$0.49
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3010.145$4.30$4.62
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.7950.840$4.23+$0.23
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.8500.885$4.16+$0.16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7650.625$3.27$0.73
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6860.955$2.78+$0.78
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? · Yes0.8550.500$2.34$1.66
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7700.875$2.27+$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.98$696.53
07-25 12:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.5875852059$200.00
07-25 12:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.5399999993$200.00
07-25 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5199999996$200.00
07-25 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5199999983$100.00
07-25 12:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL0.8225538237$359.90
07-25 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.4570969289$200.00
07-25 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.5535602985$200.00
07-25 11:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.5899999991$100.00
07-25 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.2834112526$50.00
07-25 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.2945415523$50.00
07-25 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.3047206916$50.00
07-25 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.55$100.00
07-25 08:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSELL0.866361541$778.08
07-25 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.5635075379$200.00