JoniSilvennoinen
0x033322eb5c581674ad6c061c6b95b1587d267d70
- Realised P&L
- $-404.12
- Volume
- $124.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,285
- Open portfolio
- $46.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.25at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
- +$30.46at 0.597Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$29.80at 0.041Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$26.66at 0.140LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
- +$25.42at 0.230Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9899999119 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.4785881573 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.931999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9979002096 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.3819784315 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |