0x031da8ba1df5c1c7ad59d5f322854f39ad48c1e1
0x031da8ba1df5c1c7ad59d5f322854f39ad48c1e1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.36
- Volume
- $611.10
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.310 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.065 | $0.71 | −$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.030 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.010 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 23? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 23?
- +$-0.39at 0.302Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.0476190476 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.0263376483 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.0909090909 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 24? | BUY | 0.0054250529 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.72 |
| 09-23 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0206382119 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |