PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x030da2da40d63ef977fc553ff98c58ab2d4bf512

0x030da2da40d63ef977fc553ff98c58ab2d4bf512

Realised P&L
$16.51
Volume
$452.87
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$5.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.5900.705$2.39+$0.39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6401.000$1.56+$0.56
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes0.7300.670$0.92−$0.08
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.3400.100$0.29−$0.71
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · Yes0.4200.065$0.15−$0.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.2600.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:53Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-14 18:53Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-14 10:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-14 02:31Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-13 18:28SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-13 10:27Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-12 14:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-12 06:26Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-11 22:25Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-11 14:24Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-11 06:21Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-10 21:59Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 13:42Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-10 05:29Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7979998931$1.00
10-09 20:28Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00