PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

th997

0x030956f3fa9926521b2bb471a940798a0bd422d1

Realised P&L
$-674.53
Volume
$49.0k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$151.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.3510.315$30.43$3.52
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$13.32$6.86
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1410.162$12.97+$1.62
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0060.001$11.15$118.98
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1760.071$9.25$13.64
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3870.512$6.11+$1.50
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4180.235$5.88$4.58
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.035$5.39$12.31
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1450.066$5.05$6.09
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.044$4.53$7.35
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.095$4.40$8.05
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2110.059$4.27$10.86
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2000.055$3.78$9.99
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.056$3.76$6.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.2300.155$3.37$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 21:21Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$4.00
09-10 21:20Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$5.00
09-09 18:12Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-09 18:09Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$5.00
09-09 18:08Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.0612808989$21.65
07-31 21:11Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-31 21:11Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-31 21:11Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-31 19:56Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-10 07:59Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-10 07:58Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-09 15:42Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-09 15:34Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-09 15:34Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
07-09 15:33Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.51$2.55