th997
0x030956f3fa9926521b2bb471a940798a0bd422d1
- Realised P&L
- $-674.53
- Volume
- $49.0k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $151.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.99at 0.336Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$30.07at 0.167Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$28.35at 0.135Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$25.34at 0.374Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$22.27at 0.101Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:21 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 21:20 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:09 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:08 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0612808989 | $21.65 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:56 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 07:59 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 07:58 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 15:42 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 15:34 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 15:34 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 15:33 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |