PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x03066ef0af3426277a578559e3847c806b23a81e

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$56.8k
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$87.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.105$21.09$65.28
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.895$17.51+$7.34
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2900.105$11.45$20.17
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4400.160$10.82$18.93
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? · Yes0.2600.105$8.01$11.83
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$5.88$2.26
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · No0.1400.145$4.27+$0.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? · No0.5701.000$2.65+$1.14
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0800.032$1.95$3.01
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.5200.765$1.63+$0.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.5200.007$1.50$102.50
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.2600.003$0.30$30.82
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1100.052$0.21$0.23
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.5800.001$0.10$115.90
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.2800.001$0.02$8.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 09:20No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.093$9.30
04-19 23:15Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.6796638554$56.41
04-18 15:30Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?SELL0.4632777628$68.92
04-17 05:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38285105$76.57
04-17 01:59Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.43$64.07
04-16 23:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.17$1.70
04-16 17:10Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.54$108.00
04-16 12:21Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.6166467692$80.16
04-14 21:11Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.31$33.79
04-13 22:46Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.897$179.40
04-13 17:40Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.828$165.60
04-13 03:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.65$130.00
04-12 20:55Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.61$30.50
04-11 02:42Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.76$1.19
04-09 23:12Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.876$175.20