PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE605ff3A8173e39c0B32638f355C38Ea01Da31Ca-1772889067715

0x03066ef0af3426277a578559e3847c806b23a81e

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$57.2k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$99.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.135$27.11−$59.26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.865$16.92+$6.75
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions? · Yes0.1000.053$11.90−$10.55
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2900.090$9.81−$21.80
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4400.145$9.80−$19.94
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.105$9.50+$1.36
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.2600.030$3.65−$27.46
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · No0.1400.105$3.09−$1.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? · No0.5701.000$2.65+$1.14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.5200.920$1.96+$0.85
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0800.030$1.89−$3.07
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? · Yes0.2600.018$1.41−$18.43
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1100.044$0.17−$0.26
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.5800.001$0.10−$115.90
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.2800.001$0.02−$8.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 12:44Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?SELL0.28$24.36
04-20 09:20No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.093$9.30
04-19 23:15Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.6796638554$56.41
04-18 15:30Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?SELL0.4632777628$68.92
04-17 05:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38285105$76.57
04-17 01:59Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.43$64.07
04-16 23:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.17$1.70
04-16 17:10Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.54$108.00
04-16 12:21Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.6166467692$80.16
04-14 21:11Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.31$33.79
04-13 22:46Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.897$179.40
04-13 17:40Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.828$165.60
04-13 03:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.65$130.00
04-12 20:55Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.61$30.50
04-11 02:42Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.76$1.19