0x03066ef0af3426277a578559e3847c806b23a81e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $56.8k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $87.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.35at 0.220Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$16.55at 0.300Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
- +$10.99at 0.360Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
- +$7.28at 0.820Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$6.36at 0.560Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 09:20 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.093 | $9.30 |
| 04-19 23:15 | Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.6796638554 | $56.41 |
| 04-18 15:30 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | SELL | 0.4632777628 | $68.92 |
| 04-17 05:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38285105 | $76.57 |
| 04-17 01:59 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $64.07 |
| 04-16 23:34 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 04-16 17:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 04-16 12:21 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.6166467692 | $80.16 |
| 04-14 21:11 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $33.79 |
| 04-13 22:46 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.897 | $179.40 |
| 04-13 17:40 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.828 | $165.60 |
| 04-13 03:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 04-12 20:55 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 04-11 02:42 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.19 |
| 04-09 23:12 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.876 | $175.20 |